Evaluation of the re-regulation of the gambling market. Interim report 1: Indicators for monitoring the effects of the re-regulation (2018:22)

On 1 January 2019, the Swedish gambling market will be re-regulated when a new gambling law enters into effect. The re-regulation is introducing a system which means that all operators offering gambling for money in Sweden must have a licence. A fundamental reason for this is that licensing shall provide control over the gambling currently being done online with operators not holding a licence. As part of the amended regulation, a new criminal offence, cheating at gambling, is being introduced to deter match fixing.

Statskontoret’s commission

Statskontoret (The Swedish Agency for Public Management) has been commissioned by the Government to monitor and evaluate the re-regulation of the gambling market. In this interim report we present tools and indicators for monitoring the re-regulation in an effective way. The commission shall subsequently be presented to the Government on 1 March each year up until 2022. During the work we will consult and gather knowledge from twelve government agencies to assist us in the work. These agencies are:

Swedish National Courts Administration
Swedish Prosecution Authority
Swedish Police Authority
Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brå)
National Board of Health and Welfare
Public Health Agency of Sweden
Swedish Tax Agency
Swedish Enforcement Authority
Swedish Gambling Authority
Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences
Swedish Consumer Agency
Swedish Competition Authority

Indicators for monitoring and evaluating the re-regulation

According to the commission, we shall monitor how the re-regulation impacts nine different areas. In this report we present indicators for monitoring the effects in each of the nine areas.

Market development

How the gambling market as such evolves is central for being able to assess the effects of the re-regulation. We monitor this through three indicators:

data on gambling and the gambling market
competitive conditions in the gambling market
gambling service and employment.

Channelisation in the gambling market

Channelisation is the extent of the gambling that is taking place with licensed operators in Sweden. We monitor this through two indicators:

degree of channelisation in the competitive market
characteristics of non-licenses gambling operators.

State revenue from gambling

State revenue from gambling shall not decrease following re-regulation. We monitor this through three indicators:

revenue from excise duty on gambling
revenue from corporation tax for gambling operators
revenue from dividends from Svenska Spel.

Cost development at government agencies

Certain government agencies may incur higher administrative costs as a consequence of the re-regulation. We monitor this through the following indicators:

cost development for the agencies as a result of the re-regulation.

Financing of public benefit organisations

The revenue of public benefit organisations received from gambling shall not decrease following re-regulation. We monitor this through two indicators:

the revenue of public benefit organisations from gambling
sports sponsorship revenue from gambling.

Consumer protection in the gambling market

The re-regulation aims to strengthen consumer protection in the gambling market. We monitor this through three indicators:

compliance of gambling operators with consumer protection regulations
compliance of gambling operators with marketing regulations
gambling by minors.

Public health and gambling

The re-regulation must prevent problem gambling and injurious effects from gambling. We monitor this through two indicators:

gambling problems among the population
financial problems due to gambling.

Personal privacy

The re-regulation contains several proposals that may impact personal privacy. We monitor this through three indicators:

how gambling operators process personal data when gambling for money
personal data in the self-exclusion register
warning messages on non-licensed sites.

Criminality and crime prevention work

The re-regulation shall contribute to reducing crime in connection with gambling for money. We monitor this through two indicators:

prevalence of illegal gambling activity
prevalence of cheating at gambling.

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